Marker and levels * | Events [no., (%)] | Model 1†| Model 2‡ | Model 3§ | Model 4|| | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value | |||
IL-6 (ng/L) | Q1 | 336 (13.0) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 500 (19.5) | 1.62 (1.39–1.88) | < 0.0001 | 1.32 (1.13–1.55) | 0.0006 | 1.34 (1.15–1.58) | 0.0003 | 1.39 (1.17–1.63) | 0.0001 | |
Q3 | 626 (24.5) | 2.16 (1.87–2.50) | < 0.0001 | 1.44 (1.23–1.68) | < 0.0001 | 1.47 (1.26–1.72) | < 0.0001 | 1.48 (1.26–1.74) | < 0.0001 | |
Q4 | 933 (37.0) | 3.92 (3.41–4.51) | < 0.0001 | 1.88 (1.61–2.20) | < 0.0001 | 1.95 (1.66–2.28) | < 0.0001 | 1.93 (1.64–2.27) | < 0.0001 | |
Continuous model | 1.82 (1.73–1.92) | < 0.0001 | 1.32 (1.24–1.41) | < 0.0001 | 1.34 (1.26–1.43) | < 0.0001 | 1.32 (1.24–1.41) | < 0.0001 | ||
IL-1Ra (ng/L) | Q1 | 462 (18.0) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 504 (19.7) | 1.11 (0.97–1.28) | 0.14 | 1.00 (0.87–1.17) | 0.97 | 1.01 (0.86–1.17) | 0.93 | 1.00 (0.86–1.17) | 0.98 | |
Q3 | 638 (24.9) | 1.51 (1.32–1.72) | < 0.0001 | 1.24 (1.07–1.44) | 0.005 | 1.24 (1.07–1.45) | 0.004 | 1.25 (1.07–1.46) | 0.006 | |
Q4 | 791 (31.3) | 2.07 (1.81–2.36) | < 0.0001 | 1.55 (1.34–1.80) | < 0.0001 | 1.54 (1.32–1.78) | < 0.0001 | 1.60 (1.37–1.87) | < 0.0001 | |
Continuous model | 1.51 (1.41–1.63) |  < 0.0001 | 1.32 (1.21–1.43) |  < 0.0001 | 1.31 (1.20–1.42) |  < 0.0001 | 1.33 (1.22–1.45) |  < 0.0001 | ||
hsCRP (mg/L) | Q1 | 422 (16.3) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 460 (18.1) | 1.14 (0.98–1.31) | 0.08 | 1.06 (0.91–1.24) | 0.43 | 1.06 (0.91–1.24) | 0.43 | 1.07 (0.91–1.25) | 0.43 | |
Q3 | 606 (23.8) | 1.60 (1.40–1.84) | < 0.0001 | 1.30 (1.12–1.51) | 0.0005 | 1.32 (1.14–1.53) | 0.0003 | 1.29 (1.11–1.51) | 0.001 | |
Q4 | 907 (35.9) | 2.88 (2.52–3.28) | < 0.0001 | 1.62 (1.40–1.87) | < 0.0001 | 1.65 (1.42–1.91) | < 0.0001 | 1.60 (1.37–1.86) | < 0.0001 | |
Continuous model | 1.38 (1.33–1.42) | < 0.0001 | 1.16 (1.11–1.20) | < 0.0001 | 1.16 (1.12–1.21) | < 0.0001 | 1.15 (1.11–1.20) | < 0.0001 | ||
Lp-PLA2 (μg/L) | Q1 | 582 (22.8) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 564 (22.2) | 0.97 (0.85–1.10) | 0.61 | 0.98 (0.84–1.13) | 0.74 | 0.98 (0.84–1.13) | 0.73 | 0.97 (0.84–1.13) | 0.73 | |
Q3 | 609 (23.7) | 1.06 (0.93–1.20) | 0.41 | 1.07 (0.93–1.23) | 0.36 | 1.06 (0.92–1.23) | 0.41 | 1.04 (0.90–1.21) | 0.61 | |
Q4 | 640 (25.1) | 1.14 (1.00–1.30) | 0.05 | 1.08 (0.94–1.25) | 0.26 | 1.08 (0.94–1.25) | 0.29 | 1.05 (0.91–1.22) | 0.50 | |
Continuous model | 1.11 (1.00–1.23) | 0.06 | 1.07 (0.96–1.20) | 0.24 | 1.07 (0.95–1.20) | 0.25 | 1.04 (0.93–1.18) | 0.49 | ||
Lp-PLA2-A (nmol/min/ml) | Q1 | 586 (22.9) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 567 (22.1) | 0.96 (0.84–1.09) | 0.50 | 0.97 (0.84–1.12) | 0.69 | 0.98 (0.85–1.13) | 0.75 | 0.97 (0.84–1.13) | 0.71 | |
Q3 | 588 (23.0) | 1.00 (0.88–1.14) | 0.95 | 0.97 (0.84–1.12) | 0.64 | 0.97 (0.84–1.12) | 0.65 | 0.93 (0.80–1.08) | 0.32 | |
Q4 | 654 (25.8) | 1.17 (1.03–1.33) | 0.02 | 1.13 (0.98–1.30) | 0.10 | 1.13 (0.98–1.30) | 0.10 | 1.09 (0.94–1.26) | 0.25 | |
Continuous model | 1.14 (0.99–1.30) | 0.06 | 1.09 (0.94–1.27) | 0.23 | 1.10 (0.94–1.27) | 0.23 | 1.05 (0.90–1.22) | 0.55 | ||
YKL-40 (mg/L) | Q1 | 445 (17.5) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 537 (20.9) | 1.25 (1.09–1.44) | 0.002 | 1.06 (0.91–1.23) | 0.47 | 1.07 (0.92–1.24) | 0.41 | 1.07 (0.91–1.25) | 0.44 | |
Q3 | 585 (22.9) | 1.40 (1.22–1.61) | < 0.0001 | 0.95 (0.81–1.11) | 0.48 | 0.96 (0.82–1.12) | 0.58 | 0.94 (0.80–1.11) | 0.48 | |
Q4 | 828 (32.6) | 2.29 (2.00–2.61) | < 0.0001 | 1.20 (1.03–1.40) | 0.02 | 1.24 (1.06–1.45) | 0.007 | 1.21 (1.03–1.42) | 0.02 | |
Continuous model | 1.54 (1.45–1.64) | < 0.0001 | 1.10 (1.02–1.19) | 0.01 | 1.12 (1.04–1.21) | 0.003 | 1.11 (1.02–1.20) | 0.01 | ||
IL-6 + YKL-40 | Q1 | 477 (15.2) | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – | Reference | – |
Q2 | 359 (18.0) | 1.23 (1.05–1.42) | 0.008 | 0.91 (0.78–1.08) | 0.28 | 0.93 (0.79–1.09) | 0.34 | 0.92 (0.78–1.09) | 0.33 | |
Q3 | 505 (25.6) | 1.92 (1.67–2.21) | < 0.0001 | 1.31 (1.13–1.53) | 0.0005 | 1.33 (1.14–1.55) | 0.0002 | 1.33 (1.13–1.55) | 0.0005 | |
Q4 | 1054 (34.0) | 2.88 (2.54–3.25) | < 0.0001 | 1.36 (1.18–1.57) |  < 0.0001 | 1.40 (1.22–1.62) |  < 0.0001 | 1.36 (1.17–1.58) | < 0.0001 |